Glossary
43 odds, standings and forecast terms, each in a sentence or two.
A
- American odds (moneyline odds)
- Prices written around $100. −150 means risk $150 to win $100; +130 means $100 wins $130. See also: Decimal odds, Implied probability.
B
- Back-to-back
- A team playing on two days in a row. Tired legs and a backup goalie or rested stars often follow, so lines can move when the schedule says back-to-back.
- Best available price
- The most generous price on offer for one side of a market at the moment it was read. Prices differ between sellers and change often.
C
- Calibration
- Whether stated chances come true at the stated rate. A calibrated 60% wins about 6 times in 10 over many games. The chances on this site are calibrated before they are shown.
- Closing line
- The last price before a game starts. It carries the most information the market will ever have about that game. See also: Line movement, Opening line.
- Conference
- The larger group a league is split into (Eastern and Western in the NHL and NBA; AFC and NFC in the NFL). Playoff spots are usually decided inside each conference.
D
- Decimal odds
- The total returned for each $1 staked, stake included. 2.50 returns $2.50 per $1: $1.50 profit. The implied chance is 1 ÷ the price. See also: American odds, Fractional odds.
- Division
- The smallest group of teams in a league's standings. Division rivals play each other most often, and many playoff formats reward the division winner.
E
- Edge
- The gap between a forecast chance and the chance a price needs. A positive edge means the forecast rates the side better than the price does. An edge is an estimate, not a profit.
- Even game
- A game where both sides' chances are within about two points of 50%. The honest read is that either side can win.
- Even money (+100, 2.00, 1/1)
- A price where a win pays the same as the stake. It implies a 50% chance.
F
- Fair chance (no-margin chance, no-vig chance)
- Each side's chance once the margin is taken out, so the sides add to 100%. This is the market's chance the site shows. See also: Margin, Implied probability.
- Favourite
- The side the market rates more likely to win, shown with a minus price (−150) or a decimal price under 2.00.
- Final
- The game is over and the score is official. Final/OT and Final/SO mark hockey games decided in overtime or a shootout; F/10 marks a baseball game that went 10 innings.
- Fractional odds
- Profit over stake, written as a fraction. 3/2 means $2 wins $3 profit (the same as +150 or 2.50). See also: American odds, Decimal odds.
G
- Games back (GB)
- How far a team trails the leader in the standings: half the difference in wins plus half the difference in losses.
H
- Handle
- The total amount of money bet on a game or market.
I
- Implied probability (implied chance)
- The chance a price needs to break even. −150 implies 60%; +130 implies 43.5%. See also: Fair chance.
- Injury report
- The list of players ruled out, doubtful or questionable before a game. Late changes to it are one of the main reasons prices move.
L
- Last 10 (L10)
- A team's wins and losses over its ten most recent games: a quick read of current form.
- Lean
- Our side in a market when our calibrated chance clearly beats what the price needs. Strong lean is the larger gap, Slight lean a smaller one, No lean means the numbers agree with the market. A lean is a forecast, never a guarantee. See also: Edge, Market view.
- Line
- The number a market is set at (a spread of −3.5, a total of 6.5) or, loosely, the price itself.
- Line movement
- A change in a price or number after it opens, as news and money arrive. See also: Opening line, Closing line.
- Live odds (in-game odds)
- Prices that keep updating while a game is being played.
M
- Margin (vig, vigorish, juice, overround)
- The extra built into a market so both sides add to more than 100%. −150/+130 adds to 103.5%: a 3.5% margin. See also: Fair chance.
- Market view
- Showing the market's own fair chance for each side, with no model of ours on top. Sports without a model that has earned its place are shown this way.
- Model
- A set of rules, fitted on past games, that turns information (form, injuries, rest, matchups) into a chance for each side. Models are wrong often; calibration keeps their chances honest.
- Moneyline
- A bet on who wins the game outright, with no spread.
O
- Opening line
- The first price posted for a market. See also: Closing line.
- Over/under (total)
- A bet on the combined score of both teams: over or under a set number such as 6.5 goals or 221.5 points.
P
- Parlay (accumulator)
- Several bets joined into one ticket that wins only if every leg wins. The prices multiply, so the chance falls fast.
- Pick'em
- A game with no favourite: both sides at the same price, or a spread of zero.
- Probable pitcher
- The starting pitcher a baseball team has announced. Baseball prices depend heavily on who starts, so a change moves the line.
- Prop (proposition bet)
- A bet on something inside a game rather than its result: a player's points, shots or strikeouts, or who scores first.
- Puck line
- Hockey's spread, almost always 1.5 goals. The favourite at −1.5 must win by two or more. See also: Spread.
- Push
- A result that lands exactly on the number (a 3-point win against a 3-point spread). The stake is returned.
R
- Run line
- Baseball's spread, almost always 1.5 runs. See also: Spread.
S
- Spread (point spread, handicap)
- A head start given to the underdog. At −6.5 the favourite must win by 7 or more; at +6.5 the underdog covers by losing by 6 or fewer, or by winning.
- Starting goalie
- The goalie named to start a hockey game. A backup in net can move a hockey price more than almost any other news.
- Streak (STRK)
- A team's current run of wins or losses: W3 means three wins in a row.
U
- Underdog
- The side the market rates less likely to win, shown with a plus price (+130) or a decimal price over 2.00.
W
- Wild card
- A playoff spot for a team that did not win its division, decided by record across a conference or league.
- Win chance
- Each side's chance to win the game, shown in percent. The two sides of a game always add to 100%. See also: Fair chance, Lean.
Questions
- What is the vig?
- The vig (also juice or margin) is the extra a price-setter builds into a market, so both sides add up to more than 100%. A −150 / +130 game has a 3.5% margin.
- What is the difference between the spread and the moneyline?
- The moneyline is who wins. The spread gives the underdog a head start of a set number of points, goals or runs, and asks whether the favourite wins by more than that.
- What does a lean mean?
- On SportLark a lean means our calibrated chance clearly beats what the price needs. It is a forecast, never a guarantee, and most games have no lean.
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